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Copyright © This free information provided courtesy L.A. Loft Blog and LAcondoInfo.com with information provided by Corey Chambers, Broker DRE#01889449 We are not associated with the homeowner’s association or developer. For more information, contact (213) 880-9910 or visit LAcondoInfo.com Licensed in California. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. Properties subject to prior sale or rental. This is not a solicitation if buyer or seller is already under contract with another broker.
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Corey -If you’re looking to hedge inventory you accumulate (from buying homes from sellers) and/or you’d like to express a view on future home price of large cities vs. suburbs, keep me in mind. I’m the market maker for the CME Case Shiller home price index futures, and owner of Home Price Hedging Fund, which offers OTC agreements on cities not referenced by the CME.
If you want an example of a forward pair (i.e. long one city, short another, DM me at johnhdolan@homepricefutures.com
Thanks, John
Thank you for sharing that info. I’ll let you know when I figure out what you said.
LMAO HAHAHAH love the honesty! LOL
Hehe. Thank you! I try.
Sounds interesting.
Hi John,
Thank you for your message. I have a few questions for you as I prepare to write a blog post about home price futures. Please call me between 9 AM and 8 PM any Pacific any day convenient for you.
Thank you.
Corey Chambers, Broker DRE#0188949
213-880-9910 corey@entar.com
Can you please post a few of the questions so that in case any answers involved numbers, I can have the answers handy. Thanks, John
Questions for John H Dolan:
1. What exactly is HomePriceFutures, and how does it relate to the CME Group — i.e. what “home price index futures” are we talking about? ([homepricefutures.com][1])
2. How can investors use home-price index futures (or the services offered by HomePriceFutures) to hedge against risk in their real-estate portfolios (e.g. if holding many properties)? ([homepricefutures.com][2])
3. For someone like a home-buyer or home-seller (rather than a large investor), what are realistic use cases for such futures or hedging contracts?
4. What are the features of your off-exchange (OTC) offering through the Home Price Hedging Fund (HPHF)? In particular: which cities/regions are covered that are not referenced by CME futures, and how do those OTC agreements work? ([homepricefutures.com][3])
5. How reliable or accurate are home-price index futures and hedging contracts at forecasting or reflecting “future home prices”? Are they more like predictions, or more like “where market risk clears”? ([homepricefutures.com][4])
6. What are the limitations and risks of using index-based futures or hedging rather than owning actual homes — especially when individual properties may behave differently than the broad index? (E.g. “basis risk”, regional variation, idiosyncratic risk.) ([ScienceDirect][5])
7. For a real-estate agent or broker (or firm like ENTAR), is there a role for actively using or recommending home-price futures or hedging to clients (sellers, buyers, investors)? If so — how?
8. Could HomePriceFutures (futures or OTC hedging) be used to compare or “trade” the relative strength between two markets (e.g. city vs. suburb, city vs. city)? How would that work? ([homepricefutures.com][1])
9. How liquid are these markets (both CME-listed and OTC via HPHF)? Is there significant trading volume, or is liquidity a concern? What does that mean for someone wanting to enter or exit a position? ([homepricefutures.com][1])
10. For a local investor or real-estate operator (say in California), how applicable are these futures or hedging tools — given that the index is broad and covers entire metro areas, not specific neighborhoods?
11. Does HomePriceFutures (or HPHF) provide any analysis or tools to help forecast future home prices — e.g. expected returns, forward curves, region-by-region spreads — beyond just offering contracts? ([homepricefutures.com][1])
12. Finally — why might an investor or real estate professional choose home-price futures or hedging instead of more traditional real estate investment strategies (owning property, REITs, buy-to-rent, etc.)? What unique advantages (or disadvantages) does this approach bring?
Thank you. Corey Chambers, Broker DRE#01889449 for LALoftBlog.com
Mills Act Downtown Los Angeles, Stagflation and Real Estate Prices | LOFTS FOR LEASE http://www.LALoftBlog.com
Entar® Real Estate and Investment Technologies, Lofts and houses with character (213) 880-9910 https://www.CoreyChambers.com